If There Was Ever a Time to Bet Prelims… It’s Now! UFC on FX 2

Coming off a set of predictions that I labeled with the title “I hate to brag, but…”, I once again must boast about my results. Losing only the violent knock out to start the night, PrelimPicker moved up past the 2-out-of-3 mark with its’ continued recent dominance. In the past five events, my record stands at a solid 22-5 including three cards containing 5 wins a piece. It’s a better time than ever to be a follower of this blog, especially if you are one of the readers who use it to make cash. After doing some brief research on these last five events that I picked, calculated with a modest $5 per fight bet, a completely trusting reader who played all of my picks (without even parlaying) would have an extra $77.43 in their pocket right now (which includes money lost from fights I selected the loser in). UFC 144 certainly helped a lot, with 3 of my picks at +165 or better (a shout out to those of you who claimed I play it safe) coming up Millhouse. Regardless, not a bad hunk of change. Let’s see how else I can add to your bankroll.

Shawn Jordan vs. Oli Thompson

  • My Pick: Shawn Jordan
  • Reasoning: Sure, I am impressed by Thompson’s strong submission skills and solid win streak. What I’m not impressed with is his history against decent opponents. Rob Broughton hasn’t exactly been ripping through UFC opponents, but when he met Thompson a few years ago he took care of his fairly easily. How does his opponent fair against name opponents? Ask Lavar Johnson, who recently finished the un-finishable Joey Beltran. Jordan, a Jackson MMA product dispatched of him by submission. 
  • Confidence: Good

Daniel Pineda vs. Mackens Semerzier

  • My Pick: Daniel Pineda
  • Reasoning: Da Menace had everybody in the MMA community labeling him a world beater after he took out highly regarded Wagnney Fabiano. Since then, we’ve seen little in the way of good performances out of Semerzier, with the exception of a win over less-than impressive Alex Caceres. His opponent, the former Legacy Fighting Championship featherweight champion, is a finishing machine. He’s stopped 16 out of 16 of his victories and doesn’t discriminate  in terms of means. 
  • Confidence: Fair

Jake Hecht vs. T.J. Waldburger

  • My Pick: T.J. Waldburger
  • Reasoning: Waldburger, I believe, will carry the strength advantage and will dictate where this fight takes place. Uneasy ground for Hecht, who is used to using his own wrestling pedigree to enjoy that advantage. In addition, Waldburger’s Jiu Jitsu is more sound and causes people fits, especially from top positions.
  • Confidence: Good

Andrew Craig vs. Kyle Noke

  • My Pick: Kyle Noke
  • Reasoning: Craig is a solid competitor. He holds six straight wins in his short MMA career. However, he is over-matched by the wealth of experience that Noke holds including wins over George Sotiropoulos, Brian Ebersole and Chris Camozzi. Did I mention he used to be the body guard for “The Crocodile Hunter” Steve Irwin? How does that factor into my decision? It doesn’t, but when else am I going to get to mention that?
  • Confidence: Great

Cole Miller vs. Steven Siler

  • My Pick: Cole Miller
  • Reasoning: Cole is going to be a real big featherweight, yet he has made the transition well enough that I don’t expect many cardio problems. Siler seems to have improved on the ground game holds he had early in his career and has turned them into a positive. Still, he dropped a submission loss to Cole Escovedo, which happens to be Escovedo’s only win in the last 2 years. If that defense isn’t air tight, you can count on 3-time submission of the night winner, Miller to snatch up a limb. 
  • Confidence: Good

Nick Penner vs. Anthony Perosh

  • My Pick: Anthony Perosh
  • Reasoning: Penner has an impressive array of kicks that he likes to show off. Most likely, his attempts to land a few of these will land him on his back, which is where the Hippo excels. Nicknamed due to his ability to make himself heavy and hold opponents down, Perosh will only need to get him down one, maybe two, times. The 5-time  Abu Dhabi Combat Club and Prelim Picker veteran has some of the best Jiu Jitsu in the light heavyweight division and Penner has definitely not faced a ground game as strong as his.
  • Confidence: Good

Aaron Rosa vs. James Te Huna

  • My Pick: James Te Huna
  • Reasoning: Rosa really impressed me with his new physique and improved all-around game. 205 is clearly a lot more beneficial for him as it has been in the past. Te Huna is really a different animal than any he has faced in this class though. With real heavy hands, the New Zealand native has won 3 out of every 4 of his victories by knocking his opponent out. This includes a respectable line-up of Ricardo Romero, Igor Pokrajac and the aforementioned Anthony Perosh.
  • Confidence: Good

I’ve always been a fan of playing the hot hand and with the way that my picks have been going lately, there isn’t really one hotter. In addition, there are a fair amount of these picks that I sure will be deemed underdogs and once again could make you some good cash.

Happy Pickings,

Big Sexy

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