UFC 146 Picks… Good day for upsets?

This particular card I am very excited about, in multiple ways. Much like all the other people waiting for this one, I’ve been especially excited to see the all heavyweight main card. Even with the shuffling, the match-ups are great. Seeing Lavar Johnson in there again is a treat, Stipe Miocic finally getting some major attention will be nice, and anybody who doesn’t love a Roy Nelson fight, whether you want him to win or lose, is crazy. However, make sure that you tune in early for this one. These prelims promise to be quite the exciting night. Not to mention, if you are one of the users who read this site for the betting advice, these prelims could make you some cash.

Mike Brown vs. Daniel Pineda

  • My Pick: Daniel Pineda
  • Reasoning: Brown has clearly lost a step or two since we saw him dominating the WEC. After dropping a match to one-dimensional grappler Rani Yahya, he lost respect in many eyes. Pineda, on the other hand, stepped in as a late replacement and dismantled Mackens Semerzier with a great mixure of effective striking and strong jiu jitsu. The scariest part: his wrestling is said to be his best skill set.
  • Confidence: Good

Kyle Kingsbury vs. Glover Teixeira

  • My Pick: Kyle Kingsbury
  • Reasoning: Teixeira has some well heralded strikes. Despite his jiu jitsu black belt, he seems to end most of his fights with his fists. However, looking at his striking, it seems to be well scripted. He likes to come in with a short left and then try to end a long powerful right and while that worked on Ricco Rodriguez, Kingsbury has a lot of speed. Also, since joining AKA he seems to have made great strides with his striking. 
  • Confidence: Good

Paul Sass vs. Jacob Volkmann

  • My Pick: Paul Sass
  • Reasoning: I’m a fan. That’s reason number one. This guy has sick submissions and can grab on to them in weird angles. That’s reason number two. Volkmann is a wrestler who may look for take downs and top control. There’s number three. 
  • Confidence: Fair

Dan Hardy vs. Duane “Bang” Ludwig

  • My Pick: Dan Hardy
  • Reasoning: This is sure to be fight of the night. Both of these guys can bang for hours and love to throw. Odds of this going to the mat are very slim.  So, assuming it stays on the feet, the only one of these two that appears to be KO-able is Ludwig, who’s been dropped 5 times to Hardy’s 1 shot from the interim champion. Throw in how desperate Hardy will be for a win and I think he comes out a little more technical with a little more cardio than before. 
  • Confidence: Good

C.B. Dollaway vs. Jason “Mayhem” Miller

  • My Pick: Jason Miller
  • Reasoning: I can see him coming out the same way as he did last time out. It was shocking to see a man who had been in so many battles look absolutely out of shape. With the way Dana White insulted him and threatened his job, he’s more than likely to be back to old Mayhem and old Mayhem is much better than CB Dollaway.
  • Confidence: Good 

Edson Barboza vs. Jamie Varner

  • My Pick: Edson Barboza
  • Reasoning: I’ve always loved former WEC stars, especially Varner, but he is in way over his head on this one. The Brazilian has some ridiculous striking and great reach that he’ll undoubtedly use to keep Varner at bay. Throw in the short notice and there is very little chance Varner gets the upset here.
  • Confidence: Extreme

Diego Brandao vs. Darren Elkins

  • My Pick: Darren Elkins
  • Reasoning: One of my biggest tips is to watch for Ultimate Fighters, because they often do not live up to the hype. Brandao looked impressive in many ways, but was also almost finished in his finale fight. In this fight he will be on his back as I really do think Elkins has the wrestling and take downs to do that. Could Brandao get out of trouble with a sub like last time? Possibly. But seeing as only Charles Oliveira has subbed Elkins, it is not likely
  • Confidence: Fair

Enjoy the fights and enjoy these picks!
Happy pickings,
Big Sexy
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