Monthly Archives: August 2012

For My Birthday I Want UFC 150 Picks!!

That’s right, it’s your favorite curtain jerker’s birthday tomorrow and he’s spending the time with you today to get you ready for it. PrelimPicker is coming off of a tough 2-3-1 outing in the last batch where we saw some solid prelim fights as well as Ryan Bader running into a telephone pole, Joe Lauzon showing us once again why you can’t miss one of his fights and Mick Swick back from the grave. The most impressive thing about that card may have been from a guy who lost. Brandon Vera may have just revitalized his career and reminded everybody that he can hang with the big guns. He certainly moved up my rankings despite losing (Maybe from last to 5th-to-last, but still). For the first time in years I can honestly say, I’ll be interested in his next fight. But until then, I’ll be interested in these…

Nik Lentz vs. Eiji Mitsuoka

  • My Pick: Nik Lentz
  • Reasoning: Mitsuoka has some really powerful fists. I’ve seen him tag a few people and put them in bad spots. However, the reason he only has 3 KO/TKOs is because of how sloppy said striking is and how much he prefers it on the ground. However, I think his level of wrestling is behind Lentz quite a bit and the Carny is a strong enough grappler to not get caught by Mitsuoka’s ground game. Expect Lentz to be on top for most of the fight. 
  • Confidence: Good

Dustin Pague vs. Chico Camus

  • My Pick: Dustin Pague
  • Reasoning: Pague looked pretty rough his last time out against Ken Stone. He had trouble finding range and looked overall, pretty sloppy. I would attribute all of that to the fact that he took the fight on extremely short notice and had fought only two weeks prior. Given a full training camp I think he’ll have more than enough to deal with the crisp striking of Camus. His reach will also play a factor at keeping Camus at bay and I fully expect him to use it to his full advantage.
  • Confidence: Great

Ken Stone vs. Erik Perez

  • My Pick: Erik Perez
  • Reasoning: Stone has been matched up with some really tough opponents in the past in Eddie Wineland and Scotty Jorgensen, but he has kind of been underwhelming in most of his recent contests. He faced Dustin Pague on very short notice and barely edged out a decision.  Perez is very active and a risk taker, which is somewhat surprising from a Jackson’s fighter. He likes to make greedy transitions on the ground and swing a little bit on the feet. It seemed to lessen  in his last fight, but it does make him a risky pick. He’ll most likely be an underdog and probably a nice boost for a parlay though.
  • Confidence: Good

Jared Hamman vs. Michael Kuiper

  • My Pick: Michael Kuiper
  • Reasoning: Kuiper has the perfect kind of style to pull off the upset here. He got some solid Dutch kickboxing training, with 4 of his last 5 wins coming via KO/TKO, plus a judo background. To compliment that perfectly, Hamman is not afraid to stand and throw. However, the once remarkable chin of Hamman seems to be fading as he gets a bit older, having been on the wrong end of two devastating knockouts (Philippou and Gustafsson).  
  • Confidence: Fair

Dennis Bermudez vs. Tom Hayden

  • My Pick: Dennis Bermudez
  • Reasoning: Bermudez was inches away from being a Ultimate Fighter champion when Diego Brandao pulled out a crazy submission, tapping him out. However, it’s important to remember how good he looked in that fight along with how easily he dumped Pablo Garza all over the ring. His wrestling seems to get better every time out. Should it continue to get better, I think he’ll have no problems doing the same to Hayden who seems to have a very green ground game. Granted a lot of people might look that way on the ground with Fabricio Camoes. Still Bermudez’s wrestling background should give him fits. 
  • Confidence: Great

Enjoy the fights,

Happy Pickings,

Big Sexy