UFC on Fuel: Barao vs McDonald Picks

The thing I love most about MMA is the unpredictable nature of the fights. I live for it. It’s part of what makes doing a predictions blog so exciting. So, obviously I loved everything about UFC 156. Sure, some people watched in horror as some of there favorites crumbled on the cusp of a title shot. I, on the other hand, smiled and laughed. Here’s to hoping this event lives up to the standards the last one set.

Shameless Plug: “UFC’s most memorable quotes” http://www.mma-manifesto.com/2013-articles/february/the-most-memorable-quotes-in-ufc-history.html

Phil Harris vs. Ulysses Gomez

  • My Pick: Ulysses Gomez
  • Reasoning: Some called it octagon jitters. Others attributed it to him being far overrated in his post of a top 5 flyweight in the world. I, conversely, place Gomez’s UFC debut loss squarely on the shoulders of his impressive opponent. John Moraga was and continues to be underrated, even after his submission of the night win over Chris Cariaso (a brutal guillotine choke). Phil Harris does have some good jiu jitsu and decent enough stand up, but he has never faced anybody as good or hungry as Gomez
  • Confidence: Great

Vaughan Lee vs. Motonobu Tezuka

  • My Pick: Vaughan Lee
  • Reasoning: “Love” Lee is that entertaining kind of fighter who you can always count on to chase a finish. Tezuka on the other hand works for position and plays safe. The activity of Lee in this fight will likely take Tezuka out of his comfort zone and into deep waters. (Also, see the upcoming Prelim Breakout Star on mma-manifesto.com for more info on this fight).
  • Confidence: Great

Tom Watson vs. Stanislav Nedkov

  • My Pick: Stanislav Nedkov
  • Reasoning: For years I heard about how Kong Watson was one of the best outside of the UFC. I heard calls to hire him after wins over John Maguire, Matt Horwich and eventually Ninja Rua. However, none of those seem particularly impressive, least of all the Rua fight as he was at the tail end of his career. After watching him get taken down and nearly submitted by Brad Tavares, I think he’ll have a lot of trouble with the clearly stronger Nedkov. 
  • Confidence: Good

Andy Ogle vs. Josh Grispi

  • My Pick: Andy Ogle
  • Reasoning: If you watched the Ultimate Fighter and didn’t love Andy Ogle, you likely have no heart. The guy was as nice as can be and gave fans entertaining fight after entertaining fight. Although being entertaining doesn’t win fights, Ogle’s boxing seemed very fitting to his English roots. He’s tough and doesn’t go away. Grispi, on the other hand, seems to have done only that. He’s 0-3 in his UFC career, which was supposed to begin with a UFC title shot. Thus far he has looked underwhelming while striking with George Roop and while grappling with Rani Yahya. Unless we see huge improvement in his execution, you will see Grispi for the last time.
  • Confidence: Fair

Paul Sass vs. Danny Castillo

  • My Pick: Paul Sass
  • Reasoning: Just about every time out, experts tell us that Sass will be out sized by his opponent or his opponent will know to stay out of the triangle/heel hook. However, he has an uncanny way of putting fights in his realm. Castillo has that Alpha Male wrestling, but if he’s smart he’ll stay off the ground. I just don’t know that he can do that for 15 minutes. 
  • Confidence: Good

Terry Etim vs. Renee Forte

  • My Pick: Terry Etim
  • Reasoning: Forte is a huge man. 5’8″ in the welterweight division shows that you either have some real muscle or dietary issues and Forte has the former. However, the awkward style of Etim allows him to wrap those bigger, badder looking dudes up and tap them out. Expect him and Sass to be dueling it out for submission of the night. 
  • Confidence: Good

Happy Pickings,



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