Monthly Archives: May 2013

UFC 160 Picks

Estevan Payan vs. Jeremy Stephens

  • My Pick: Jeremy Stephens
  • Reasoning: I’ve actually really grown to be a fan of El Terrible’s hands. He’s looked really good which is why he’s here with a UFC contract. I just think they dropped  him in a little too deep of water for his debut. Stephens hits like a truck and Payan is going to be willing to trade with him.
  • Confidence: Good

Brain Bowles vs. George Roop

  • My Pick: Brian Bowles
  • Reasoning: Roop might be the hardest fighter to get a read on. He can beat up Hatsu Hioki and knock out the un-knock-out-able Korean Zombie, but looks very pedestrian at other times. Deep down I’m hoping that we see the old Bowles in this fight who I think is too much for Roop to handle. Be careful betting this one though, if Bowles has rust, Roop could take him.  
  • Confidence: Fair

Nah-Shon  Burrell vs. Stephen Thompson

  • My Pick: Stephen Thompson
  • Reasoning: We all remember Thompson’s hype train being derailed against Matt Brown, but I don’t quite think it’s time to hop off. His striking is capable of making him a threat in the division if he develops a more complete game. I don’t think Burrell can stay away from those hands or ridiculously quick legs forever.
  • Confidence: Great

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Abel Trujillo

  • My Pick: Khabib Nurmagomedov
  • Reasoning: Trujillo looked like a world beater in his first fight under the Zuffa banner. However, once again, I think the UFC gave a new guy a little bit more than he can chew. Nurmagomedov is the 9th ranked lightweight in mma-manifesto.com ‘s Lightweight rankings and is a real threat for the title right now. An impressive showing here and expect to see him against a Top 5 guy.
  • Confidence: Good

Colton Smith vs. Robert Whittaker

  • My Pick: Colton Smith
  • Reasoning: I will be the first to admit I’m not a Colton Smith fan. The move he made faking a glove touch will forever cement him in a bad image in my eyes. However, I just don’t think I can pick against his wrestling here. It’s too good and I expect him to take a fairly easy decision win here.
  • Confidence: Great

Dennis Bermudez vs. Max Holloway

  • My Pick: Max Holloway
  • Reasoning: I am going with the upset here for a few reasons. Firstly, I think Holloway is a really smart fighter. Despite being only 21, he knows where he should be in a fight and works diligently to make sure it happens. And two, I think Bermudez needs to drag him down in order to beat him and I’ve been impressed with Holloway’s ability to get back up.
  • Confidence: Fair

Mike Pyle vs. Rick Story

  • My Pick: Rick Story
  • Reasoning: Such a toss up here. Both of these guys are impressive veterans. The difference maker I think it Story’s relentless forward mentality. I think it helps him take an extra round on the judges cards.
  • Confidence: Fair

Happy Pickings,

Daniel


UFC on FX 8: 9 Fight Prelim Card!!!

With a 9 fight card, who’s got time for a blurb. Here come the picks.

Lucas Martins vs. Jeremy Larsen

  • My Pick: Lucas Martins
  • Reasoning: Jeremy Larsen got knocked out at the hands of submission specialist, Joe Proctor recently. If he had trouble handling Proctor’s hands, Martins will give him a headache he won’t soon forget. 
  • Confidence: Great

Jussier Formiga vs. Chris Cariaso

  • My Pick: Jussier Formiga
  • Reasoning: Most underrated fight of the night. Former #1 in his weight class, Formiga has a solid wrestling base. Cariaso has the ability to make things a war and come out on top (just ask Michael McDonald). In the end, I think this winds up fight of the night, but in the hands of the judges the wrestler usually gets the nod.
  • Confidence: Fair

John Lineker vs. Azamat Gashimov

  • My Pick: Azamat Gashimov
  • Reasoning: I’m a buyer on Russian MMA right now. People like Nurmagomedov and Khabilov are opening a lot of people’s eyes to mother Russia and showing that Sambo is still relevant. Lineker delivers a lot of hard blows, but I see Gashimov getting him to the ground and Lineker has been known to get caught or fall into trouble on the floor.
  • Confidence: Fair

Fabio Maldonado vs. Roger Hollett

  • My Pick: Fabio Maldonado
  • Reasoning: Rivaling Roy Nelson’s chin, Maldonado can take a punch with the best of them. Add in a pro boxing background and as long as Hollett can’t take him down, he’ll turn him into a punching bag.
  • Confidence: Great

Yuri Alcantara vs. Iliarde Santos

  • My Pick: Yuri Alcantara
  • Reasoning: I’ve become a big fan of both Alcantara brothers. They seem to have all of the intangibles when it comes to fighting; finishing mentality, heart and a great fight IQ. He might be fairly evenly matched here, but he’ll find a way to win.
  • Confidence: Good

Paulo Thiago vs. Michel Prazeres

  • My Pick: Paulo Thiago
  • Reasoning: Late replacement. Outmatched. End of story.
  • Confidence: Extreme 

Gleison Tibau vs. Josh Cholish

  • My Pick: Gleison Tibau
  • Reasoning: Every time he fights I make mention of Tibau’s size and for good reason. He uses that pure size to bully people and take fights that he might be out matched in as far as technique goes. Cholish had a rough time out last time against someone with superior grappling. I think he may be in for the same type of night.
  • Confidence: Good

Francisco Trinaldo vs. Mike Rio

  • My Pick: Francisco Trinaldo
  • Reasoning: The first Prelim Breakout Star on mma-manifesto.com was Trinaldo and I’m sticking to my original horse. He’s got a great mixture of power in his fists and technical jiu jitsu. Although Rio is a good step up in opponents, he did get submitted by Andy Ogle. If Ogle gave him trouble, Trinaldo should make him hurt on the ground.
  • Confidence: Great

Hacran Dias vs. Nik Lentz

  • My Pick: Nik Lentz
  • Reasoning: The winner of this match should be right in the mix in the 145 division. Both of these guys have looked great as of late. Since dropping to 145 Lentz has looked unbeatable. Although I think Dias’ ground game should give him more fits than his past opponents, Lentz will be able to overcome it.
  • Confidence: Fair